Title of article :
Coherent lower previsions in systems modelling: products and aggregation rules
Author/Authors :
Gert de Cooman، نويسنده , , Matthias C.M. Troffaes، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2004
Pages :
22
From page :
113
To page :
134
Abstract :
We discuss why coherent lower previsions provide a good uncertainty model for solving generic uncertainty problems involving possibly conflicting expert information. We study various ways of combining expert assessments on different domains, such as natural extension, independent natural extension and the type-I product, as well as on common domains, such as conjunction and disjunction. We provide each of these with a clear interpretation, and we study how they are related. Observing that in combining expert assessments no information is available about the order in which they should be combined, we suggest that the final result should be independent of the order of combination. The rules of combination we study here satisfy this requirement.
Keywords :
Natural extension , Expert information , Independence , Disjunction , Marginal extension , Conjunction , Type-I product , Coherent lower previsions
Journal title :
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Serial Year :
2004
Journal title :
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Record number :
1186805
Link To Document :
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