Detection of equipment aging and determination of the efficiency of a corrective measure

When too many failures occur on a given piece of equipment, the dependability engineer needs to decide whether these failures are attributable to poor initial design or if they are due to a phenomenon of aging. If aging is confirmed, the problem is then to determine the moment at which the process began and what corrective measure (generally, a modification in the design or in the preventive maintenance program) is the best suited to delay the occurrence of the failure. This measure will thus make it possible to extend the lifetime of the equipment. The method is based on the simple hypothesis of a model of step aging and on Bayesian techniques. The principal benefit of this method is the determination of the time at which aging begins (and the related uncertainties), the evolution in the failure rate of the component in its initial state and once modified, and the probability of success of the corrective measure. The IBTV software was developed to implement this methodology.