Unavailability of critical SCADA communication links interconnecting a power grid and a Telco network

The availability of power supply to power grid customers depends upon the availability of services of supervision, control and data acquisition (SCADA) system, which constitutes the nervous system of a power grid. In turn, SCADA services depend on the availability of the interconnected networks supporting such services. We propose a service oriented stochastic modelling methodology to investigate the availability of large interconnected networks, based on the hierarchical application of different modelling formalisms to different parts of the networks. Interconnected networks are decomposed according to the specific services delivered until the failure and repair mechanisms of the decomposed elementary blocks can be identified. We represent each network by a convenient stochastic modelling formalism, able to capture the main technological issues and to cope with realistic assumptions about failure and recovery mechanisms. This procedure confines the application of the more intensive computational techniques to those subsystems that actually require it. The paper concentrates on an actual failure scenario, occurred in Rome in January 2004 that involved the outage of critical SCADA communication links, interconnecting a power grid and a Telco network.