Modelling economic impacts of deficit irrigated maize in Brazil with consideration of different rainfall regimes

Deficit irrigation is often required to cope with droughts and limited water availability. However, to select an appropriate irrigation management, it is necessary to assess when economic impacts of deficit irrigation are acceptable. Thus, the main goal of this study was to evaluate economic water productivity for maize submitted to various levels of water deficits and different irrigation systems. The study was based on two different experiments conducted in Southern Brazil, one using sprinkler irrigation to supplement rainfall and the other using drip irrigation with precipitation excluded by a rainfall shelter to simulate cultivation under dry conditions. Water productivity indicators were calculated referring to: a) actual field collected data, including yields, commodity prices and production costs; and b) a sensitivity analysis to commodity prices and production costs. Alternative centre-pivot irrigation scenarios were also developed to assess their feasibility in terms of water use and productivity when irrigation is used to supplement rainfall or when rainfall is scarce. Results show that the feasibility of deficit irrigation is highly influenced by commodity prices and by the irrigation (and water) costs when the irrigation costs are a large part of the production costs. Results also show that deficit irrigation applied when rainfall is abundant is easier to implement than deficit irrigation where rainfall is very scarce, when only a mild stress is economically viable. For well-designed and managed centre-pivot systems, results confirm that adopting deficit irrigation when rainfall is scarce is less attractive than under conditions of irrigation to supplement rainfall. It could be concluded that farmers are unlikely to choose a deficit irrigation strategy unless they are facing reduced water availability for irrigation.