Methodology of estimation of accident situation in building industry

The paper presents the methodology of analyses and estimation of the accident situation in the building industry. The indices, elaborated by the author, which enable to analyse the accident situation in the building industry as a static, homogeneous phenomenon, as a static non-homogeneous phenomenon and as a dynamic phenomenon, are the base for the above methodology. The analysis and estimation of the accident situation in the building industry were done on the grounds of the statistical database, published by the GUS (The Central Statistical Office). The indices values of the accident situation, suggested for the estimation of the accident situation, were calculated and next the mathematical model of the development tendency of the accident situation was elaborated. The model consists of two parts: i.e. the model of the development tendency (which is m-degree polynomial) and the model of the general downward or upward tendency of the analysed phenomena described by the linear function.