Title of article :
Recursive calculation of time to ruin distributions
Author/Authors :
Cardoso، نويسنده , , Rui M.R. and Egidio dos Reis، نويسنده , , Alfredo D.، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2002
Pages :
12
From page :
219
To page :
230
Abstract :
In this paper we present a different approach on Dickson and Waters [Astin Bulletin 21 (1991) 199] and De Vylder and Goovaerts [Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 7 (1988) 1] methods to approximate time to ruin probabilities. By means of Markov chain application we focus on the direct calculation of the distribution of time to ruin, and we find that the above recursions appear to be less efficient, although giving the same approximation figures. We show some graphs of the time to ruin distribution for some examples, comparing the different shapes of the densities for different values of the initial surplus. Furthermore, we consider the presence of an upper absorbing barrier and apply the proposed recursion to find ruin probabilities in this case.
Keywords :
Probability of ruin , Barrier problems , finite time , Discrete time model , Markov chain , Recursive calculation , Time to ruin
Journal title :
Insurance Mathematics and Economics
Serial Year :
2002
Journal title :
Insurance Mathematics and Economics
Record number :
1542472
Link To Document :
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