Title of article :
Neglecting parameter changes in GARCH models
Author/Authors :
Hillebrand، نويسنده , , Eric، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
دوفصلنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2005
Pages :
18
From page :
121
To page :
138
Abstract :
If a GARCH model is estimated on a time series that contains parameter changes in the conditional volatility process and these parameter changes are not accounted for, a distinct error in the estimation occurs: The sum of the estimated autoregressive parameters of the conditional variance converges to one. In finite samples, the sum of the estimated autoregressive parameters is heavily biased towards one. This paper shows that this convergence holds for all common estimators of GARCH. Simulations of the GARCH model show that the effect occurs for realistic parameter changes and sample sizes for financial volatility data.
Keywords :
Volatility persistence , Spurious estimation , Spurious unit root , Spurious long memory , GARCH
Journal title :
Journal of Econometrics
Serial Year :
2005
Journal title :
Journal of Econometrics
Record number :
1558806
Link To Document :
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