Title of article
Coherent lower previsions in systems modelling: products and aggregation rules
Author/Authors
de Cooman، نويسنده , , Gert and Troffaes، نويسنده , , Matthias C.M. Troffaes، نويسنده ,
Issue Information
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2004
Pages
22
From page
113
To page
134
Abstract
We discuss why coherent lower previsions provide a good uncertainty model for solving generic uncertainty problems involving possibly conflicting expert information. We study various ways of combining expert assessments on different domains, such as natural extension, independent natural extension and the type-I product, as well as on common domains, such as conjunction and disjunction. We provide each of these with a clear interpretation, and we study how they are related. Observing that in combining expert assessments no information is available about the order in which they should be combined, we suggest that the final result should be independent of the order of combination. The rules of combination we study here satisfy this requirement.
Keywords
Expert information , Type-I product , conjunction , Marginal extension , disjunction , Natural extension , Coherent lower previsions , Independence
Journal title
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Serial Year
2004
Journal title
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Record number
1568928
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