River temperature sensitivity to hydraulic and meteorological parameters

A sensitivity analysis is performed to evaluate river temperature variations in response to changes in hydraulic and meteorological conditions. The effects of instream flow, river geometry, and weather factors on daily mean and daily maximum river temperatures are quantified by analytical solutions to a simplified model. The influence coefficient method is used to determine river temperature sensitivity. The sensitivity analysis presents quantitative evidence that river temperatures are more sensitive to instream flowrate, upstream inflow temperature, air temperature, humidity and solar radiation than to other parameters including wind speed and channel geometry and morphometry. It is found that the sensitivity of river temperatures to flow is as significant as that to weather. Daily maximum river temperature is more sensitive to flowrate than daily mean temperature. Adapting the concept of ‘diminishing returns’, a critical instream flowrate is identified, which divides high and low sensitivity of water temperatures to flowrate. The critical flowrate can be used to determine practically achievable and economically feasible flow requirements for summer river temperature control. The sensitivity results can assist in streamflow management and reservoir operation for protections of habitat and aquatic environment.