Title of article :
Precision of power-law NHPP estimates for multiple systems with known failure rate scaling
Author/Authors :
Van Dyck، نويسنده , , Jozef and Verdonck، نويسنده , , Tim، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2014
Pages :
10
From page :
143
To page :
152
Abstract :
The power-law non-homogeneous Poisson process, also called the Crow-AMSAA model, is often used to model the failure rate of repairable systems. In standard applications it is assumed that the recurrence rate is the same for all systems that are observed. The estimation of the model parameters on the basis of past failure data is typically performed using maximum likelihood. If the operational period over which failures are observed differs for each system, the Fisher information matrix is numerically inverted to quantify the precision of the parameter estimates. s paper, the extended case is considered where the recurrence rate between the different systems may vary with known scaling factors and it is shown that the standard error of the parameter estimates can be quantified using analytical formulae. The scaling factors allow to apply the model to a wider range of problems. The analytical solution for the standard error simplifies the application and allows to better understand how the precision of the model varies with the extent of available data. The good performance and the practical use of the method is illustrated in an example.
Keywords :
repairable system , Crow-AMSAA model , ROCOF , standard error , Maximum likelihood
Journal title :
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Serial Year :
2014
Journal title :
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Record number :
1573917
Link To Document :
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