Title of article
Clarifications to questions and criticisms on the Johansen–Ledoit–Sornette financial bubble model
Author/Authors
Sornette، نويسنده , , Didier and Woodard، نويسنده , , Ryan and Yan، نويسنده , , Wanfeng and Zhou، نويسنده , , Wei-Xing، نويسنده ,
Issue Information
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2013
Pages
12
From page
4417
To page
4428
Abstract
The Johansen–Ledoit–Sornette (JLS) model of rational expectation bubbles with finite-time singular crash hazard rates has been developed to describe the dynamics of financial bubbles and crashes. It has been applied successfully to a large variety of financial bubbles in many different markets. Having been developed over a decade ago, the JLS model has been studied, analyzed, used and criticized by several researchers. Much of this discussion is helpful for advancing the research. However, several serious misconceptions seem to be present within this literature both on theoretical and empirical aspects. Several of these problems stem from the fast evolution of the literature on the JLS model and related works. In the hope of removing possible misunderstanding and of catalyzing useful future developments, we summarize these common questions and criticisms concerning the JLS model and synthesize the current state of the art and existing best practice.
Keywords
JLS model , financial bubbles , Log-periodic power law , probabilistic forecast , crashes
Journal title
Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Serial Year
2013
Journal title
Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Record number
1737277
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