Author/Authors :
Vafaei، F نويسنده Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of K.N. Toosi, Vali Asr St., Tehran, Iran , , Harati، A N نويسنده Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of K.N. Toosi, Vali Asr St., Tehran, Iran ,
Abstract :
The management and analysis of flood hazards is of great socio- economic and
ecological importance as it was estimated that 50 percent of word’s population resides and works
within the costal zone till 2030. The management of coastal flood hazard reflects the cumulative
effects and criteria more than the human mind can handle effectively. The flood management requires
decision making for relatively far and largely unknown parameters and face to the largest
uncertainties.This paper aims to provide a quantified method for developed decision making in
coastal flood management. It discusses the applying of strategic management in a spatial decision
support system (DSS) for analysis and modeling of flood management as important part of integrated
coastal zone management (ICZM). This study focuses on flood management in South- west of Iran
as case study and use SWOT analysis for gaining to the best result. The main finding of paper is
provision of systematic method to choose best strategic alternative in flood management. To reach
this target numerical model in multi criteria decision making are developed. The new methodology in
this study shows that applying quantitative methods with a combination of DSS and SWOT analysis
in flood management can be adopted carefully and helps coastal managers to decrease uncertainties
and human errors.