Risk Stratification for Recurrent Heart Failure in Patients Post-Myocardial Infarction With Electrocardiographic and Echocardiographic Left Atrial Abnormality

Left atrial enlargement is predictive of cardiovascular events. The predictive power, however, of the combination of electrocardiographic (LAE-ECG) and echocardiographic left atrial enlargement (LAE-Echo) has not been extensively evaluated. We prospectively identified patients admitted with non–ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) who developed new-onset heart failure during admission. Baseline electrocardiograms obtained ≤12 months before admission were evaluated for LAE-ECG, such as prolonged P-wave duration or positive P-wave terminal force in lead V1, and in-hospital echocardiographic reports obtained ≤1 month after admission were assessed for linear, anteroposterior LAE-Echo. Follow-up was directed toward pertinent cardiovascular events and death. Of the 462 patients with NSTEMI, 108 developed new-onset heart failure (23%); 71 patients had LAE-Echo. Follow-up was 23.2 months (mean 22.1 months). Although in-hospital (early) cardiovascular complications (other than heart failure) were not significantly higher in patients with LAE-Echo, these patients demonstrated more postdischarge (late) cardiovascular complications, predominantly recurrent heart failure. In addition, those with a combination of LAE-Echo and LAE-ECG demonstrated significantly higher recurrence of heart failure (hazard ratio 1.52, 95% confidence interval 1.12 to 4.35; p = 0.02 for interatrial conduction delay, and hazard ratio 1.07, 95% confidence interval 1.01 to 3.27 for P-wave terminal force in lead V1; p = 0.03) and increased mortality compared with those with LAE-Echo alone. In conclusion, our data suggest that a combination of electrical and mechanical left atrial dysfunction is significantly more predictive of increased cardiovascular events and mortality compared with left atrial mechanical dysfunction alone.