Title of article
Mass and energy-capital conservation equations to forecast monthly oil price
Author/Authors
Gori، نويسنده , , Fabio، نويسنده ,
Issue Information
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2013
Pages
10
From page
623
To page
632
Abstract
The mass and the energy-capital conservation equations are employed to study the time evolution of the mass of oil and the oil price evolution with time of the resources sold to the market in case of no-accumulation and no-depletion of the resources; i.e. when the resources are extracted and sold to the market at the same mass flow rate. The time evolution of the monthly oil price is studied from January 1994 until December 2013, investigating the detailed forecast resulting from the application of the present theory. The oil price can be reasonably forecasted using the prime and the discount rate interests as extreme limits. The method is then applied to forecast the oil price during months when the economic rates are still unknown.
Keywords
Critical initial price of selling resources , Critical initial extreme price of selling resources , Price-increase factor of extra , oil price , Mass and energy-capital conservation equations , Monthly forecast , Negative inflation rate , Interest rates , Extraction Rate
Journal title
Applied Thermal Engineering
Serial Year
2013
Journal title
Applied Thermal Engineering
Record number
1906334
Link To Document