Title of article :
Mass and energy-capital conservation equations to forecast monthly oil price
Author/Authors :
Gori، نويسنده , , Fabio، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2013
Abstract :
The mass and the energy-capital conservation equations are employed to study the time evolution of the mass of oil and the oil price evolution with time of the resources sold to the market in case of no-accumulation and no-depletion of the resources; i.e. when the resources are extracted and sold to the market at the same mass flow rate. The time evolution of the monthly oil price is studied from January 1994 until December 2013, investigating the detailed forecast resulting from the application of the present theory. The oil price can be reasonably forecasted using the prime and the discount rate interests as extreme limits. The method is then applied to forecast the oil price during months when the economic rates are still unknown.
Keywords :
Critical initial price of selling resources , Critical initial extreme price of selling resources , Price-increase factor of extra , oil price , Mass and energy-capital conservation equations , Monthly forecast , Negative inflation rate , Interest rates , Extraction Rate
Journal title :
Applied Thermal Engineering
Journal title :
Applied Thermal Engineering