• Title of article

    Mass and energy-capital conservation equations to forecast monthly oil price

  • Author/Authors

    Gori، نويسنده , , Fabio، نويسنده ,

  • Issue Information
    روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2013
  • Pages
    10
  • From page
    623
  • To page
    632
  • Abstract
    The mass and the energy-capital conservation equations are employed to study the time evolution of the mass of oil and the oil price evolution with time of the resources sold to the market in case of no-accumulation and no-depletion of the resources; i.e. when the resources are extracted and sold to the market at the same mass flow rate. The time evolution of the monthly oil price is studied from January 1994 until December 2013, investigating the detailed forecast resulting from the application of the present theory. The oil price can be reasonably forecasted using the prime and the discount rate interests as extreme limits. The method is then applied to forecast the oil price during months when the economic rates are still unknown.
  • Keywords
    Critical initial price of selling resources , Critical initial extreme price of selling resources , Price-increase factor of extra , oil price , Mass and energy-capital conservation equations , Monthly forecast , Negative inflation rate , Interest rates , Extraction Rate
  • Journal title
    Applied Thermal Engineering
  • Serial Year
    2013
  • Journal title
    Applied Thermal Engineering
  • Record number

    1906334