How committee machine with SVR and ACE estimates bubble point pressure of crudes

Bubble point pressure (Pb), one of the most important parameters of reservoir fluids, plays an important role in petroleum engineering calculations. Accurate determination of Pb from laboratory experiments is time, cost and labor intensive. Therefore, the quest for an accurate, fast and cheap method of determining Pb is inevitable. In this communication, a sophisticated approach was followed for formulating Pb to temperature, hydrocarbon and non-hydrocarbon compositions of crudes, and heptane-plus specifications. Firstly, support vector regression (SVR), a supervised learning algorithm plant based on statistical learning (SLT) theory, was employed to construct a model estimating Pb. Subsequently, an alternating conditional expectation (ACE) was used to transform input/output data space to a highly correlated data space and consequently to develop a strong formulation among them. Eventually, SVR and ACE models are combined in a power-law committee machine structure by virtue of genetic algorithm to enhance accuracy of final prediction. A comparison among constructed models and previous models using the concepts of correlation coefficient, mean square error, average relative error and absolute average relative error reveals power-law committee machine outperforms all SVR, ACE, and previous models.