Rice Price in Bangladesh: Fluctuation and Trend Analysis

The present study was an attempt to analyze the price fluctuation and price trends of rice in Bangladesh by using time series data for the period of 1974-75 to 2010-11. It was observed that Annual price fluctuation of rice was higher than area, yield and production fluctuations. Price fluctuation was highest in periods IV and II. The downward trend of real price was found for rice but in case of production, area and yield trend line was found upward. For every trend line it was found that for the period III and IV deviation from the trend line was high. Intra-seasonal price variation and coefficient of variation of rice price were quite high in the year 1977-78 and lowest in the year 2004-05. But these figures were decreasing gradually.