Food Security Impacts of Increasing Energy Prices on Iranian Meat Market

In accordance with the Iranian government intention toward two step forward elimination of energy subsidies policy in coming years, we focus in this study on the extent by which the corresponding raising costs will be distributed across the livestock sector and how they affected food security. For this purpose, scenario of increasing energy prices and improving productivity at vertical and horizontal meat market is applied by a multi-market equilibrium displacement model to Iranian livestock sector for next five years. Results show that changing the price of poultry and beef have the highest impacts on animal protein intake. Improving productivity could compensate decreasing of protein and calorie intakes for successive four years but not at the last year.