Title of article :
A note about calibrated prediction regions and distributions
Author/Authors :
Fonseca، نويسنده , , Giovanni and Giummolè، نويسنده , , Federica and Vidoni، نويسنده , , Paolo، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2012
Abstract :
In this work we address the problem of the construction of prediction regions and distribution functions, with particular regard to the multidimensional setting. Firstly, we define a simple procedure for calculating the predictive distribution function which gives improved prediction limits. Secondly, with a multivariate generalization of a result presented in Ueki and Fueda (2007), we propose a method for correcting estimative prediction regions, to reduce their coverage error to the third-order accuracy. The improved prediction regions and the associated distribution functions are easy to calculate using a suitable bootstrap procedure. Examples of application are included, showing the good performance of the proposed method, even if we consider an approximated model for prediction purposes.
Keywords :
Estimative prediction limit , Parametric bootstrap , Coverage probability , Prediction region , Predictive Distribution
Journal title :
Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference
Journal title :
Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference