Title of article :
Impact of the Selected Domestic and Foreign Markets Returns on Stock Price in Iran
Author/Authors :
Argha, Leila Department of Economics - Bu-Ali Sina University - Iran , Mowlaei, Mohammad Department of Economics - Bu-Ali Sina University - Iran , Khezri, Mohsen Department of Economics - Bu-Ali Sina University - Iran , Shahabadi, Abolfazl Faculty of social sciences and Economics - Alzahra University - Tehran
Abstract :
One of the features of a financial market, the stock market in particular, is the market sentiment which is the overall attitude of investors toward a particular security or financial market. Investors always seek to create a portfolio with minimum risk while
maintaining the expected return level. Therefore, perceiving the relationship between the
stock returns and markets returns can be helpful for investors to create an optimal
portfolio. On this basis, the present study aims at investigating the Dynamic Conditional
Correlation (DCC) between the returns on the domestic markets (industry stock market
and exchange rate) and foreign markets using monthly data of oil and base metals
including total metals, copper, steel and returns on the stock price index in Iran during
March 2001 to April 2017 using the Dynamic Conditional Correlation Fractionally
Integrated Asymmetric Power ARCH (DCC-FIAPARCH) approach. The obtained results
indicate a statistically significant and positive DCC coefficient between metals, industrial
products, and copper returns with the stocks returns. Consequently, it is not possible to
put each of these assets with the stocks in an identical situation (purchase or sale), but
instead they should be always situations for risk control. However, in connection with
other markets, DCC is not significant; accordingly, assets can be placed in the investment
portfolio together with the stocks.
Keywords :
Stocks , Oil Price , Exchange Rate , Copper , Steel , Dynamic Conditional Correlation
Journal title :
Journal of Money and Economy (Money and Economy)