Author/Authors :
Doosti-Irani, Amin Department of Epidemiology - School of Public Health - Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran , Haghdoost, Ali Akbar Modeling in Health Research Center - Institute for Futures Studies in Health - Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran , Najafi, Farid Research Center for Environmental Determinants of Health (RCEDH) - Health Institute - Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences, Kermanshah, Iran , Eybpoosh, Sana Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics - Research Centre for Emerging and Reemerging Infectious Diseases - Pasteur Institute of Iran, Tehran, Iran , Moradi, Ghobad Social Determinants of Health Research Center - Research Institute for Health Development - Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran , Bagheri Amiri, Fahimeh Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics - Research Centre for Emerging and Reemerging Infectious Diseases - Pasteur Institute of Iran, Tehran, Iran , Mounesan, Leila Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics - Research Centre for Emerging and Reemerging Infectious Diseases - Pasteur Institute of Iran, Tehran, Iran , Mostafavi, Ehsan Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics - Research Centre for Emerging and Reemerging Infectious Diseases - Pasteur Institute of Iran, Tehran, Iran
Abstract :
Background: Iran is one of the countries most affected by COVID-19. This review provides
possible interpretations of the observed trend of COVID-19 in Iran.
Study design: A rapid review
Methods: We reviewed the daily new cases of COVID-19 based on hospitalized and outpatients,
reported deaths, and diagnostic testing in Iran.
Results: Iran reported its first peak in the number of cases in late March, 2020. From the 1 April to
3 May 2020, the downward trend in the number of cases was started. The death trend also showed
a peak in early April as well as a downward trend in late April. During May, the number of death
cases showed a stable trend with a daily number of deaths ranging between 50 and 75 cases. Then
the number of deaths gradually increased.
Conclusion: The epidemic curve in Iran is a function of different factors such number of total tests,
change in mitigation policies, and heterogeneities among different provinces in the country.
Therefore it should be interpreted under the light of the effect of such factors.
