Other language title :
ﻃﺮاﺣﯽ ﻣﺪل ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ رﯾﺰي اﺳﺘﺮاﺗﮋﯾﮏ در ﻫﻠﺪﯾﻨﮓﻫﺎي ﻣﻌﺪﻧﯽ ج.ا.ا ﻣﻄﺎﻟﻌﻪ ﻣﻮردي: ﻫﻠﺪﯾﻨﮓ ﺷﻬﺎب ﺳﻨﮓ
Title of article :
Design of An Intelligent Model for Strategic Planning in Mineral Holding: Case study, Shahab-Sang Holding
Author/Authors :
Tohidi, Hamid Department of Industrial Engineering - South Tehran Branch - Islamic Azad University - Tehran, Iran , Shokri, Abouzar Department of Industrial Engineering - South Tehran Branch - Islamic Azad University - Tehran, Iran , Piroozfar, Shahnaz Department of Industrial Engineering - South Tehran Branch - Islamic Azad University - Tehran, Iran , Ghazizadeh, Ziaadin Department of Industrial Engineering - Imam Hussein University - Tehran, Iran
Abstract :
Business logic is one of the most important logics based on the decision matrix.
However, using this logic alone and environmental uncertainty leads to problems such
as low accuracy and integrity in strategic planning. In this work, we use an intelligent
model based on the neural-fuzzy approach aiming at a desired decision-making and
reducing the uncertainty in the strategic planning in mineral holdings. Here, the
strategies are presented based on three logics, namely business, added value, and
capital market. After extracting the primary indices, the final indices of the three logics
are selected by consulting with the mineral holding experts. Modelling of the indices
is accomplished by the Matlab software, and the model computation is done by the
root mean square error for the test data and train data. The case study (Shahab-sang
holding) findings show that by a combination of these three logics, the proposed
strategies include more integration and accuracy, which lead to a lower uncertainty and
more speed in the strategy formulation. Also the test result indicates the validity of all
the extracted strategies
Farsi abstract :
ﯾﮑﯽ از ﻣﻬﻤﺘﺮﯾﻦ ﻣﻨﻄﻖﻫﺎي ﻣﺒﺘﻨﯽ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺎﺗﺮﯾﺲ ﺗﺼﻤﯿﻢ ﮔﯿﺮي, ﻣﻨﻄﻖ ﮐﺴﺐ وﮐﺎر اﺳﺖ. ﺑﺎ اﯾﻦ ﺣﺎل، اﺳﺘﻔﺎده ﺗﻨﻬﺎ از اﯾﻦ ﻣﻨﻄﻖ و ﻋﺪم اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن ﻣﺤﯿﻄﯽ ﻣﻨﺠﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺸﮑﻼﺗﯽ از ﺟﻤﻠﻪ ﮐﻢ ﺷﺪن دﻗﺖ ﺗﺼﻤﯿﻢﮔﯿﺮي راﻫﺒﺮدي و ﻋﺪم ﺟﺎﻣﻌﯿﺖ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪرﯾﺰي اﺳﺘﺮاﺗﮋﯾﮏ ﻣﯽﺷﻮد. در اﯾﻦ ﻣﻘﺎﻟﻪ، ﻣﺎ از ﯾﮏ ﻣﺪل ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ ﻣﺒﺘﻨﯽ ﺑﺮ روﯾﮑﺮد ﻋﺼﺒﯽ- ﻓﺎزي ﺑﺎ ﻫﺪف ﺗﺼﻤﯿﻢ ﮔﯿﺮي ﻣﻄﻠﻮب و ﮐﺎﻫﺶ ﻋﺪم اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن در ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ رﯾﺰي اﺳﺘﺮاﺗﮋﯾﮏ ﻫﻠﺪﯾﻨﮓﻫﺎي ﻣﻌﺪﻧﯽ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده ﺷﺪه اﺳﺖ. در اﯾﻨﺠﺎ، اﺳﺘﺮاﺗﮋيﻫﺎ ﺑﺮ اﺳﺎس ﺳﻪ ﻣﻨﻄﻖ، ﮐﺴﺐ وﮐﺎر، ارزش اﻓﺰوده و ﺑﺎزار ﺳﺮﻣﺎﯾﻪ اراﺋﻪ ﺷﺪهاﻧﺪ. ﭘﺲ از اﺳﺘﺨﺮاج ﺷﺎﺧﺺﻫﺎي اوﻟﯿﻪ، ﺷﺎﺧﺺﻫﺎي ﻧﻬﺎﯾﯽ ﺳﻪ ﻣﻨﻄﻖ ﺑﺎ ﻣﺸﺎوره ﺑﺎ ﮐﺎرﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎن ﻫﻠﺪﯾﻨﮓﻫﺎي ﻣﻌﺪﻧﯽ اﻧﺘﺨﺎب ﻣﯽﺷﻮﻧﺪ. ﻣﺪﻟﺴﺎزي ﺷﺎﺧﺺﻫﺎ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﻧﺮم اﻓﺰار Matlab اﻧﺠﺎم ﻣﯽﺷﻮد و ارزﯾﺎﺑﯽ ﻣﺪل ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﻣﺤﺎﺳﺒﻪ رﯾﺸﻪ ﺧﻄﺎي ﻣﯿﺎﻧﮕﯿﻦ ﻣﺮﺑﻊ ﺑﺮاي دادهﻫﺎي آزﻣﻮن و دادهﻫﺎي آﻣﻮزش اﻧﺠﺎم ﻣﯽﺷﻮد. ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪﻫﺎ در ﻣﻄﺎﻟﻌﻪ ﻣﻮردي )ﻫﻠﺪﯾﻨﮓ ﺷﻬﺎب ﺳﻨﮓ( ﻧﺸﺎن ﻣﯽدﻫﺪ ﮐﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺗﺮﮐﯿﺒﯽ از اﯾﻦ ﺳﻪ ﻣﻨﻄﻖ، اﺳﺘﺮاﺗﮋيﻫﺎي ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدي ﺟﺎﻣﻌﯿﺖ و دﻗﺖ ﺑﯿﺸﺘﺮي داﺷﺘﻪ و ﻣﻨﺠﺮ ﺑﻪ ﮐﻢ ﺷﺪن ﻋﺪم اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن و ﺳﺮﻋﺖ ﺑﯿﺸﺘﺮ در ﺗﺪوﺑﻦ اﺳﺘﺮاﺗﮋي ﻣﯽﺷﻮد. ﻫﻤﭽﻨﯿﻦ ﻧﺘﯿﺠﻪ آزﻣﻮن ﻧﺸﺎن دﻫﻨﺪه اﻋﺘﺒﺎر ﻫﻤﻪ راﻫﺒﺮدﻫﺎي اﺳﺘﺨﺮاﺟﯽ اﺳﺖ
Keywords :
Fuzzy-neural , Intelligent model , Strategic planning , Mineral holding , Decision matrix
Journal title :
Journal of Mining and Environment