Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: A Time Series Analysis of Turkey, 1979-2011

This paper attempts to examine the causality relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth (GDPGR) in Turkey using the time-series techniques. All analyses are conducted with the annual data of foreign direct investment and real gross domestic product of Turkey over the period of 1979-2011. The results of the ADF unit root test show that the time-series variable are non-stationary atlevels, but become stationary in the first differences. Besides, the results of the Johansen co-integration test indicate that both series are co-integrated and a positive long-run relationship exists between FDI and GDPGR. Findings of the Granger-causality method suggest that there is a bi-directional causalitybetween them.