INFLATION IN MALAYSIA

This study examines the determination of inflation in Malaysia. The results of the generalised forecast error variance decomposition show that real import price change is the most important factor in the determination of inflation. The impact of real oil price change on inflation is marginal. An increase in real oil price has a more significant impact on inflation than a decrease in real oil price. The results of the generalised impulse response function show the impact of variables examined on inflation is relatively short. There is evidence that real oil price change Granger causes inflation.