Title of article :
Comment on “Predicting the mortality due to Covid-19 by the next month for Italy, Iran and South Korea; a simulation study
Author/Authors :
Chaibakhsh, Samira Eye Research Center - The five Senses Institute - Rassoul Akram Hospital - Iran University of Medical Sciences - Tehran, Iran , Vahedi, Mohsen Department of Biostatistics - University of Social Welfare and Rehabilitation Sciences - Tehran, Iran
Abstract :
1 We have read with great interest the manuscript by
Shojaei et al (1) who used statistical models to predict
the mortality due to Covid-19 for Italy, Iran, and South
Korea for the next month from 3/15/2020. It was
claimed that the distribution of mortality was Poisson,
so the corresponding methods were used to perform
simulations (2). Now, the actual values of mortality
have been released by the WHO for the prediction
period, and the simulations showed an acceptable
prediction; however, we would like to make some
comments...
Keywords :
Comment , Predicting the mortality due , Covid-19 , next month , Italy , Iran , South Korea , simulation study , To The Editor
Journal title :
Gastroenterology and Hepatology From Bed to Bench