Title of article :
Comment on “Predicting the mortality due to covid-19 by the next month for Italy, Iran and South Korea; a simulation study
Author/Authors :
Mirmomeni, Golshan Student’s Research Committee - Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences - Ahvaz, Iran , Bayat, Arash Hearing Research Center - Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences - Ahvaz, Iran
Abstract :
We have read with great interest the study by
Shojaee et al. (1) entitled “predicting the mortality due
to COVID-19 by the next month for Italy, Iran and
South Korea; a simulation study.” During this study,
the authors precisely estimated the number of
laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients and the rate
of death among three countries in the next month using
a “Poisson” distribution.
Poisson distribution is the common discrete probability
distribution for the modeling of counts data. This type
of distribution assumes an equi-dispersion of data (2).
The equi-dispersion results when the variance and the
mean are equal.....
Keywords :
Comment , Predicting the mortality due , covid-19 , next month , Italy , Iran , South Korea , simulation study , To The Editor
Journal title :
Gastroenterology and Hepatology From Bed to Bench
