Title of article
Forecasting Factors Affecting Stock Price Fluctuations Using the Scenario Planning Approach
Author/Authors
Mohammad Ganji Nik ، Maryam Department of Industrial Management - Faculty of Economics, Management and Administrative Sciences - Semnan University , Golarzi ، Gholamhosein Department of Business Management - Faculty of Economics, Management and Administrative Sciences - Semnan University , Shafiei Nikabadi ، Mohsen Department of Industrial Management - Faculty of Economics, Management and Administrative Sciences - Semnan University , Fadaiei Eslam ، Mohammadjavad Department of Computer Software Engineering - Faculty of Electrical and Computer Engineering - Semnan University
From page
584
To page
598
Abstract
In this study, we explain the future potential scenarios of factors affecting stock price fluctuations in the Tehran Stock Exchange concerning the 2026 perspective. This research is applied, cross-sectional, and qualitative, and is implemented as a descriptive survey using the scenario planning approach. The statistical population is a collection of financial experts; We selected 15 of them as a sample using the judgmental/purposive and network (snowball) sampling methods. In the first step, we identified the key uncertainties of the factors affecting stock price fluctuations using the Fuzzy Delphi method, then by identifying the probable modes of each of the key uncertainties, three compatible scenarios were determined by Scenario Wizard software, and finally, the experts suggested strategies for these scenarios.
Keywords
Future studies , Scenario planning , Stock price fluctuations , Tehran stock exchange
Journal title
Journal of Applied Research on Industrial Engineering
Journal title
Journal of Applied Research on Industrial Engineering
Record number
2760606
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