The Role of the United States in the Future of Iran-Russia Relations

Considering their geographical proximity, Iran and Russia have common issues and similar perspectives on various political and security issues at both regional and global levels. And by using their capacities, they can demonstrate a model of complementary and cooperative partnership. However, regional and international political-security considerations often influence their collaboration, particularly in light of the United States policies toward both countries. The trend of Russo-Iranian relations over the past four decades shows that the United States has significantly shaped the relationship between Tehran and Moscow. However, this analysis of the impact of the United States on the fluctuations in Iran-Russia relations indicates that it has contributed to fostering a common understanding between Iran and Russia. The existing assumptions show that regional and international dynamics have led to a strategic logic in the development of Iran-Russia relations, aimed at counterbalancing the threat from the United States, potentially leading to the realization of a strategic alliance between Iran and Russia. This study seeks to identify the role of the United States in shaping Iran-Russia relations using trend effect analysis and to explore new potential dimensions of the Tehran-Moscow relationship in light of the American factor.