Excess 1-year cardiovascular risk in elderly primary care patients with a low ankle–brachial index (ABI) and high homocysteine level

Previous studies in selected patient samples suggested a high risk for total mortality and cardiovascular (CV) morbidity associated not only with symptomatic, but also with asymptomatic peripheral arterial disease (PAD). Our aim was to assess the 1-year risk of death and CV morbidity associated with PAD in primary care. Furthermore, we quantified the strength of association between low ankle–brachial index (ABI, as indicator for PAD), plasma homocysteine (HC) levels, and various accepted PAD risk factors, and death and outcomes. In a prospective cohort study, 6880 unselected patients ≥65 years were followed up by 344 primary care physicians in Germany. At 1 year, all-cause mortality was 2.8% in patients with PAD and 0.9% in patients without PAD (odds ratio [OR] adjusted for age and gender: 2.7 [95% confidence interval: 1.7; 4.2]; multivariate adjusted OR: 2.0 [1.3; 3.3]). Mortality due to CV events was 1.6 versus 0.4% (OR: 3.7 [2.0; 6.9], adjusted OR: 2.5 [1.3; 4.9]). Patients with PAD and high HC values (≥fourth quintile) had a markedly increased risk of premature death: OR versus no PAD/low HC level (