Predicting soccer matches: A reassessment of the benefit of unconscious thinking

We evaluate Dijksterhuis, Bos, van der Leij, & van Baaren (2009), Psychological Science, on the benefit of unconscious thinking in predicting the outcomes of soccer matches. We conclude that the evidence that unconscious thinking helps experts to make better predictions is tenuous both from theoretical and statistical perspectives. Keywords: unconscious thinking, expertise, predictive judgments.