MANAGING RISK IN FORCE DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS

Examining the dynamic character of the Armed Forces transformation, viewed as a continuous process for development and adaptation of the security policy to the external environment by implementing the Force Development Programs in order to improve the Armed Forces operational capabilities, makes it possible to determine some main characteristics - necessity of continuous management including effective planning, efficient organization, and realization and reliable control of the achieved results; management in conditions of uncertainty, i.e. in conditions of lack of complete information about the different parts of the whole process and the external environment, in which this process will be implemented. The efficiency of the risk management process for the Force Development Programs depends on different factors, but the most significant role belongs to the structure of the process and the methods used in the risk management model. The structure of the risk management process determines the comprehensive, systematic and complex character of the model and the influence of the methods on the quality of the results achieved by the model used in the decision-making process in the area of Armed Forces transformation and Force Development Programs implementation.