Title of article :
Arguments for–or against–Probabilism?
Author/Authors :
Alan H´ajek، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2008
Pages :
27
From page :
793
To page :
819
Abstract :
Four important arguments for probabilism—the Dutch Book, representation theorem, calibration, and gradational accuracy arguments—have a strikingly similar structure. Each begins with a mathematical theorem, a conditional with an existentially quantified consequent, of the general form: if your credences are not probabilities, then there is a way in which your rationality is impugned. Each argument concludes that rationality requires your credences to be probabilities. I contend that each argument is invalid as formulated. In each case there is a mirror-image theorem and a corresponding argument of exactly equal strength that concludes that rationality requires your credences not to be probabilities. Some further consideration is needed to break this symmetry in favour of probabilism. I discuss the extent to which the original arguments can be buttressed.
Journal title :
The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science
Serial Year :
2008
Journal title :
The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science
Record number :
708494
Link To Document :
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