Title of article
Empty confidence sets for epidemics, branching processes and Brownian motion
Author/Authors
Ball، Frank G نويسنده , , Britton، Tom نويسنده , , Oneill، Philip D نويسنده ,
Issue Information
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2002
Pages
-210
From page
211
To page
0
Abstract
This paper treats some examples where likelihood-based inference for certain model parameters may produce empty confidence sets. The first example concerns epidemics, and the parameter of interest is the basic reproduction number R0, which is to be estimated from the final size of an epidemic in a finite population.The second example treats estimation of the mean of the offspring distribution in a branching process, based on observing the total progeny, i.e. the total number of individuals ever born in the branching process. The final example considers estimation of the linear drift in a Brownian motion, based on observing the first hitting time of some horizontal barrier.
Keywords
Brownian motion , Branching process , Confidence set , Likelihood-based inference , Epidemic model
Journal title
Biometrika
Serial Year
2002
Journal title
Biometrika
Record number
71738
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