• Title of article

    Empty confidence sets for epidemics, branching processes and Brownian motion

  • Author/Authors

    Ball، Frank G نويسنده , , Britton، Tom نويسنده , , Oneill، Philip D نويسنده ,

  • Issue Information
    روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2002
  • Pages
    -210
  • From page
    211
  • To page
    0
  • Abstract
    This paper treats some examples where likelihood-based inference for certain model parameters may produce empty confidence sets. The first example concerns epidemics, and the parameter of interest is the basic reproduction number R0, which is to be estimated from the final size of an epidemic in a finite population.The second example treats estimation of the mean of the offspring distribution in a branching process, based on observing the total progeny, i.e. the total number of individuals ever born in the branching process. The final example considers estimation of the linear drift in a Brownian motion, based on observing the first hitting time of some horizontal barrier.
  • Keywords
    Brownian motion , Branching process , Confidence set , Likelihood-based inference , Epidemic model
  • Journal title
    Biometrika
  • Serial Year
    2002
  • Journal title
    Biometrika
  • Record number

    71738