Effect of conidial dispersal of the fungal pathogen Entomophaga maimaiga (Zygomycetes: Entomophthorales) on survival of its gypsy moth (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae) host

Several researchers have developed a one-generational computer model that simulates infection prevalence of gypsy moth, Lymantria dispar, caterpillars by its fungal pathogen, Entomophaga maimaiga. Inputs required are temperature, humidity, and rainfall records, a measure of fungus resting spore load in the soil, and an estimate of gypsy moth larval density. In a previous study, the model accurately tracked fungal-induced host mortality as long as airborne fungal conidia were allowed to disperse freely over a local area. In 2002, dispersal of conidia and its influence on the impact of the fungus on the gypsy moth was investigated. Gypsy moth densities and fungus resting spore loads were measured in 15 plots within a 3 km area. In 7 of the plots, prevalence of fungal disease was determined weekly by collecting and rearing gypsy moth larvae. Different strategies were used to disperse conidia within the model, and resulting simulated prevalence rates were compared to actual data. Model output was most accurate when airborne conidia were permitted to disperse equally to all plots. Thus, to accurately assess the impact of the fungus in one location, it is necessary to take into account fungal activity throughout the local area.