• Title of article

    Real options in the forest: what if prices are mean-reverting?

  • Author/Authors

    Ole Gjolberg، نويسنده , , Atle G. Guttormsen، نويسنده ,

  • Issue Information
    روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2002
  • Pages
    8
  • From page
    13
  • To page
    20
  • Abstract
    When solving the Faustmann problem in a stochastic setting, it is typically assumed that prices follow a random walk process. In the present paper, we instead assume that timber prices are mean-reverting. We take a real-option approach to the cutting problem and discuss what consequences mean-reverting prices will have compared to the traditional random-walk assumption. One conclusion is that what traditionally has been seen as irrational pricing with discount rates that are too low, may represent rational pricing of relatively low-risk, long-term investments.
  • Keywords
    Forest valuation , Rotation , Real options , Mean reversion
  • Journal title
    Forest Policy and Economics
  • Serial Year
    2002
  • Journal title
    Forest Policy and Economics
  • Record number

    726757