Title of article
Real options in the forest: what if prices are mean-reverting?
Author/Authors
Ole Gjolberg، نويسنده , , Atle G. Guttormsen، نويسنده ,
Issue Information
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2002
Pages
8
From page
13
To page
20
Abstract
When solving the Faustmann problem in a stochastic setting, it is typically assumed that prices follow a random walk process. In the present paper, we instead assume that timber prices are mean-reverting. We take a real-option approach to the cutting problem and discuss what consequences mean-reverting prices will have compared to the traditional random-walk assumption. One conclusion is that what traditionally has been seen as irrational pricing with discount rates that are too low, may represent rational pricing of relatively low-risk, long-term investments.
Keywords
Forest valuation , Rotation , Real options , Mean reversion
Journal title
Forest Policy and Economics
Serial Year
2002
Journal title
Forest Policy and Economics
Record number
726757
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