Programmed ventricular stimulation in survivors of acute myocardial infarction: long-term follow-up

The prognostic significance of ventricular tachyarrhythmias induced by programmed ventricular stimulation was evaluated in 492 consecutive survivors of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Holter monitoring, signal-averaged electrocardiogram (ECG) and measurement of left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) were also performed. The protocol used up to 3 extrastimuli. Sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia (VT) < 270 beats/min, > 270 beats/min (ventricular flutter) (VF1), and ventricular fibrillation (VF) were induced in 99, 66 and 52 patients, respectively. Long term follow-up (mean 3.7 ± 2.2 years) showed that most episodes of VT occurred during the first months following AMI (n = 14), but some patients (n = 6) could develop VT as late as 4 years after AMI. Sudden death (SD) (n = 22) always occurred during the first year following AMI. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that EF < 30% and induction of a VT < 270 beats/min were the only predictors for total cardiac death (P < 0.001). EF < 30%, induction of a VT < 270 beats/min and also of VF1 (P < 0.05) were predictors for VT and SD: the risk was 4% in patients without inducible VT, 12% in those with inducible VF1, and 21% in those with inducible VT < 270 beats/min. In conclusion, induction of a sustained monomorphic VT < 270 beats/min or > 270 beats/min is a predictor of arrhythmic events during the first year as well as 4 years after myocardial infarction. However the risk of arrhythmic sudden death decreases after the first year, while the risk of VT persists. Because of the low positive predictive value of programmed stimulation (respectively 21% and 12% for the induction of a sustained VT and VF1), we recommend the indication of programmed stimulation in only the patients with one abnormal non-invasive investigation.