Author/Authors :
R PATEL، NIKUNJ نويسنده , , MOHANTY، SUSHIL نويسنده , , PATHAK، NEETA نويسنده ,
Abstract :
India has adopted LPG Policy in 1991 for rest of the world and leads to increase an
integration of the Indian capital market with international financial. Here, we have
examined the co-movement of the Indian stock market(BSE) with developed markets
like US, Japan, UK, Germany, France, Australia, and developing markets like
Brazil, China, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Korea, Pakistan using daily data for the period
January 2001 to May 2011. Tools like descriptive statistics, correlation, rolling
correlation and Granger-causality tests have been used in the paper to find out the
same. We found that the US market is not playing a unique role in integration of
Asian markets. It is observed from the analysis that majority of the Asian Stock
market indices integrate with each other, like BSE, SHANGHAI, JAKARTA and
KLSE is highly correlated with Strait Times whereas KSE is highly correlated with
BSE. All these stock exchanges are the developing economies of the world. Whereas
the developed countries stock indices showed the co-integration majorly with the
developed countries indices like, Dow Jones is highly correlated with DAX, CAC40
with DAXand NIKKEI with AOA. This shows that an investor can be able to earn a
good return by diversifying investment in both kinds of economies (developed and
developing). This study yields an interesting result that, excluding the Indian market
from the set of Asian markets leads to no or fewer co-integrating relations; this
indicates a unique role of India in the degree of linkages of these stock markets
during the recent period of more open capital markets, where FII investments play a
key role in synthesizing markets across a region. The degree of integration found is
not significant that implies the nature of integration with emerging Asian markets
does not yet warranty any immediate concern for India regarding possible contagion
effect. The observations also showed.