Title of article :
A structuraldecompositionoftheU.S.tradebalance:Productivity,
demographicsandfiscalpolicy
Author/Authors :
Andrea Ferrero، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2010
Abstract :
The USexternaldeficitshavebeenthemoststrikingmanifestationofglobalimbalances.
This paperinvestigatesthecontributionofproductivitygrowth,demographicsand
fiscalpolicyinaccountingfortheevolutionoftheUSexternalimbalancesagainst
industrializedcountriesduringthelastthreedecades.Productivitygrowthplaysa
dominantrole.Demographicsexplainanon-negligibleandnearlypermanent
componentoftheUStradedeficit.Furthermore,theinternationaldemographic
transitioniscrucialforlargeUSexternalimbalancestobeconsistentwiththe
persistentdeclineofworldrealinterestratesobservedinthedata.Fiscalpolicyisof
minorimportance
Keywords :
Global imbalancesProductivity growthDemographic trendsFiscal policyWorld realinterestrates
Journal title :
Journal of Monetary Economics
Journal title :
Journal of Monetary Economics