Author/Authors :
S.Nisan، نويسنده , , J.L.Rouyer، نويسنده , , P.Marcetteau، نويسنده , , D.Duflo، نويسنده ,
Abstract :
Thecodesystem,SEMER,wasrecentlydevelopedtoevaluatetheeconomicimpactofvariousnuclearreactorsandassociatedinnovations.Modelsfornearlyallfossilenergy-basedsystemswerealsoincludedtoprovideabasisforcostcomparisons.
Essentially,SEMERincludesthreetypesofmodellibraries:theglobalmodel,forarapidestimationofvariousnuclearandfossilenergy-basedsystems,thedetailedmodels,forthefinercostevaluationofindividualcomponentsandcircuitsinaPWRtypeofreactorandthefuelcyclemodels,forPWRS,HTRsandFBRs,allowingthecostestimationsrelatedtoallthestepsinthenuclearfuelcycle,includingreprocessinganddisposal.
Thispapersummarisesouron-goinginvestigationsonnewdevelopmentsin,andonthevalidationof,theSEMERsystem.
Detailsofthemodellingprinciples,andtheresultsofvalidationcarriedoutinthecontextofanEDF/CEAJointProtocolAgreement,arealsopresented.
Firstresultsofthisvalidationarehighlyencouraging:
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RelativeerrorsforthetotalkWhorovernightandinvestmentcostsarelessthan5%forlargePWRsystemsoperatinginFranceorothercountries.
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Theseerrorsarelessthan3%forsmall-sizedcompactPWRsandtheyareoftheorderof4–7%forHTRs(ascomparedtoIAEAestimations).
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Forfossilenergy-basedpowerplants,therelativeerror,evenwithslightlydifferentcostbreakdownbetweenSEMERandthatofexistinginstallations,isfrom5to20%.
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Similarly,errorsonthenuclearfuelcyclecostsareabout1–4%,comparedtopublishedreferencevalues.