Title of article :
Numerical computation of fragility curves for NPP equipment Original Research Article
Author/Authors :
I. Zentner، نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2010
Pages :
8
From page :
1614
To page :
1621
Abstract :
The seismic probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) methodology is a popular approach for evaluating the risk of failure of engineering structures due to earthquake. In this framework, fragility curves express the conditional probability of failure of a structure or component for a given seismic input motion parameter A, such as peak ground acceleration (PGA) or spectral acceleration. The failure probability due to a seismic event is obtained by convolution of fragility curves with seismic hazard curves. In general, a log-normal model is used in order to estimate fragilities. In nuclear engineering practice, these fragilities are determined using safety factors with respect to design earthquake. This approach allows to determine fragility curves based on design study but largely draws on expert judgement and simplifying assumptions. When a more realistic assessment of seismic fragility is needed, simulation-based statistical estimation of fragility curves is more appropriate. In this paper, we will discuss statistical estimation of parameters of fragility curves and present results obtained for a reactor coolant system of nuclear power plant. We have performed non-linear dynamic response analyses using artificially generated strong motion time histories. Uncertainties due to seismic loads as well as model uncertainties are taken into account and propagated using Monte Carlo simulation.
Journal title :
Nuclear Engineering and Design Eslah
Serial Year :
2010
Journal title :
Nuclear Engineering and Design Eslah
Record number :
895693
Link To Document :
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