شماره ركورد كنفرانس :
4214
عنوان مقاله :
Alternative processes for option pricing in uncertain environment
پديدآورندگان :
Tichý Tomáš Technical University Ostrava , Holčapek Michal University of Ostrava
كليدواژه :
fuzzy random variable , fuzzy stochastic process , option pricing
عنوان كنفرانس :
دهمين كنفرانس بين المللي تحقيق در عمليات
چكيده فارسي :
During last decades the stochastic simulation approach, both via MC and QMC has been vastly applied and
subsequently analyzed in almost all branches of science. Very nice applications can be found in areas that
rely on modeling via stochastic processes, such as finance. However, since financial quantities -- opposed
to natural processes -- depend on human activity, their modeling is often very challenging. Many scholars
therefor suggest to specify some parts of financial models by means of fuzzy set theory. Since many
financial problems are too complex to be solved analytically even in a crisp case, it can be efficient to
apply (Quasi) Monte Carlo simulation. In this contribution the recent knowledge of fuzzy numbers and
their approximation is utilized in order to suggest fuzzy-MC simulation to option price modeling in terms
of fuzzy-random variables. In particular, we suggest three distinct fuzzy-random processes as an alternative
to a standard crisp model. Application possibilities are shown on illustrative examples