Author/Authors :
ÖZTÜRK, Tuğba Işık Üniversitesi - Fen-Edebiyat Fakültesi - Fizik Bölümü, Turkey , TÜRKEŞ, Murat Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi - Fen-Edebiyat Fakültesi - İstatistik Bölümü Bağlantılı, turkey , KURNAZ, M. Levent Işık Üniversitesi - Fen-Edebiyat Fakültesi - Fizik Bölümü, Turkey
Title Of Article :
Analysing Projected Changes in Future Air Temperature and Precipitation Climatology of Turkey by Using RegCM4.3.5 Climate Simulations
Abstract :
In this work, future changes for the period of 2070-2100 in mean air temperature and precipitation climatology of Turkey with respect to present climate (1971 to 2000) were projected by using regional climate model simulations. Regional Climate Model (RegCM4.3.5) of International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) was used for projections of future and present climate conditions.HadGEM2 (Hadley Global Environment Model 2) global climate model of Met Office Hadley Centre was downscaled for Turkey and its surrounding region. In this study, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 emission scenarios were studied in order to investigate future changes of some climate variables in Turkey.According to the model results, there will be an increase of between 3 °C and 7 °C in mean air temperatures of Turkey. This warming will be more severe in warm seasons than cold seasons.Changes varying from –0.8 mm/day to 1.2 mm/day in precipitation climatology of Turkey are expected according to the regional climate model results.
NaturalLanguageKeyword :
Turkey , climate change , emission scenarios , regional climate model , future projections
JournalTitle :
Aegean Geographical Journal
