مرکز منطقه ای اطلاع رساني علوم و فناوري - Supply Responses of Agricultural Crops Cultivated in Yeşilirmak Agricultural Basin within Turkey Agricultural Basins Production and Support Model

Abstract :

In this research, supply response of some agricultural crops cultivated in Yeşilırmak Agricultural Basin of Turkey Agricultural Basins Product and Support Model which is one of the support policy instruments was determined. The research period included 1995-2012 years. The general trends of real price and current price, planting area, production quantity and yield of selected crops within the basin were determined by using trend equations. Supply response of crops was determined by the Panel Regression Method. Amount of production was dependent variable. The independent variables included in the model are one year lagged real price for relevant crop, one year lagged real price for competitive crop, support policy variable, diesel price, the average annual temperature, the average annual rainfall and number of tractors. According to Panel Regression results, one year lagged real prices for relevant crops, the average annual rainfall, the average annual temperature and number of tractors in basin were statistically significant for all crops. Impact of competitive crop was statistically significant only for sunflower. Support policy was statistically significant for barley, sunflower and pea. According to results of the research, it is suggested that price factor is considered in production planning, technological developments is brought together with producer in agricultural production size, support policies is revised again both in term of application and support quantity considering national and international dynamics and provided reflecting to product in real terms and impact on production patterns of traditional attitudes of producers is considered.