• DocumentCode
    1063123
  • Title

    The evolution of digital electronics towards VLSI

  • Author

    Keyes, Robert W.

  • Author_Institution
    IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY
  • Volume
    26
  • Issue
    4
  • fYear
    1979
  • fDate
    4/1/1979 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    271
  • Lastpage
    279
  • Abstract
    Technological trends are extrapolated to the end of this century. Problems of utilizing high levels of integration are noted, and the capabilities of technology are viewed in the perspective of the problems to provide a forecast of the levels of integration that will be found in large computing systems. A physical model and some more speculative system assumptions are used to estimate the performance of the systems. The physical characteristics forecast for the system are summarized.
  • Keywords
    Costs; Data processing; Electronic components; Extrapolation; History; Microelectronics; Power system modeling; Semiconductor impurities; Technology forecasting; Very large scale integration;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Electron Devices, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9383
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/T-ED.1979.19424
  • Filename
    1480002