• DocumentCode
    1084123
  • Title

    Bayes credibility intervals for reliability of series systems with very reliable components

  • Author

    Tang, Jen ; Tang, Kwei ; Moskowitz, Herbert

  • Author_Institution
    Krannert Graduate Sch. of Manage., Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN, USA
  • Volume
    43
  • Issue
    1
  • fYear
    1994
  • fDate
    3/1/1994 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    132
  • Lastpage
    137
  • Abstract
    An asymptotic expansion for the posterior Cdf of the reliability of series systems with very reliable components is obtained. This result allows us not only to calculate the Cdf easily but to estimate the magnitude of error when the infinite series expansion is truncated. Numerical results show that the asymptotic expansion converges very rapidly. Consequently, the computation of Bayes credibility intervals based on the truncated expansion is efficient and accurate
  • Keywords
    Bayes methods; reliability theory; Bayes credibility intervals; asymptotic expansion; error magnitude estimation; infinite series expansion; posterior Cdf; reliability; series systems; very reliable components; Chebyshev approximation; Distributed computing; Polynomials; Reliability theory; State estimation; Statistical analysis; System testing;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Reliability, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9529
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/24.285127
  • Filename
    285127