• DocumentCode
    1149971
  • Title

    Testing the untestable: reliability in the 21st century

  • Author

    Bennett, Thomas R. ; Booker, Jane M. ; Keller-McNulty, Sallie ; Singpurwalla, Nozer D.

  • Author_Institution
    Statistics Group, Los Alamos, NM, USA
  • Volume
    52
  • Issue
    1
  • fYear
    2003
  • fDate
    3/1/2003 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    118
  • Lastpage
    124
  • Abstract
    As science and technology become increasingly sophisticated, government and industry are relying more and more on science´s advanced methods to determine reliability. Unfortunately, political, economic, time, and other constraints imposed by the real world, inhibit the ability of researchers to calculate reliability efficiently and accurately. Because of such constraints, reliability must undergo an evolutionary change. The first step in this evolution is to re-interpret the concept so that it meets the new century´s needs. The next step is to quantify reliability using both empirical methods and auxiliary data sources, such as expert knowledge, corporate memory, and mathematical modeling and simulation.
  • Keywords
    decision making; possibility theory; probability; reliability; auxiliary data sources; belief functions; corporate memory; decision making; empirical methods; expert knowledge; mathematical modeling; possibility theory; probability; reliability; simulation; Decision making; Government; Logic; Mathematical model; Possibility theory; Probability; Reliability theory; Statistics; Testing; Time factors;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Reliability, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9529
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/TR.2002.807239
  • Filename
    1179817