Generalized innovation and inference algorithms for hidden mode switched linear stochastic systems with unknown inputs

In this paper, we propose inference algorithms for simultaneously estimating the mode, input and state of hidden mode switched linear stochastic systems with unknown inputs. First, we define the generalized innovation for the recently proposed optimal filter for simultaneous input and state estimation [1] and show that the sequence is a Gaussian white noise. Then, we utilize this whiteness property of the generalized innovation, which reflects the estimation quality to form the likelihood function of the system model. Consequently, we employ the multiple model (MM) approach based on the likelihood function for inferring the hidden mode of switched linear stochastic systems. Algorithms for both static and dynamic MM estimation are presented and compared using a simulation example of vehicles at an intersection with switching driver intentions.