• DocumentCode
    1164504
  • Title

    Nonequilibrium Dynamics of Dissipative Systems and Its Application to a Macroeconomic System

  • Author

    Matsuno, Koichiro

  • Volume
    8
  • Issue
    7
  • fYear
    1978
  • fDate
    7/1/1978 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    526
  • Lastpage
    533
  • Abstract
    A form of nonequilibrium dynamics for a macroeconomic system is developed, in which each of the economic subjects working as interdependent decisionmakers acts so as to maintain the balance between the incoming and the outgoing monetary flows, except at the central bank. The nonequilibrium dynamics, which is based upon the balancing of monetary flows at every instantaneous time at each economic subject except the central bank, is described as a stochastic process since an outside observer cannot know or tell the reasons for particular choices on the part of the interdependent decisionmakers. A sample trajectory of the evolutionary process can be traced by referring only to the initial condition of the macroeconomic system at an arbitrary initial time, exhibiting a distinct contrast to those of various econometric models in which knowledge of the past history over a long period is needed for making a prediction of the future. The macroeconomic system evolves in the direction along which the ratio of the total material dissipation rate per unit time to the total material stock present in the system, both measured in common units of currency, decreases with time on a macroscopic time scale, even if some of the economic subjects undergo bankruptcies during the course of time evolution.
  • Keywords
    Econometrics; Economic forecasting; History; Integrodifferential equations; Macroeconomics; Measurement units; Predictive models; Stochastic processes; Time measurement; Trajectory;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9472
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/TSMC.1978.4310016
  • Filename
    4310016