• DocumentCode
    1164968
  • Title

    Reliability Evaluation in Hydrothermal Generating Systems

  • Author

    Cunha, S.H.F. ; Ganes, F.B.M. ; Oliveira, G.C. ; Pereira, M.V.F.

  • Author_Institution
    Centro de Pesquisas de Energia Eletrica (CEPEL)
  • Issue
    12
  • fYear
    1982
  • Firstpage
    4665
  • Lastpage
    4673
  • Abstract
    This paper presents a technique for the evaluation of loss of load probalility (LOLP) in hydrothermal generating systems. LOLP evaluation is carried out by a mixed simulation/analytical approach that takes into account the effect of reservoir depletion on the output capacities of the hydroelectric units. The characteristic behaviour of generation reliability indices in hydro systems is illustrated by a case study using the Brazilian South/Southeast configuration.
  • Keywords
    Analytical models; Computational modeling; Costs; Load modeling; Monte Carlo methods; Probability distribution; Production systems; Reservoirs; Sensitivity analysis; Upper bound;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Power Apparatus and Systems, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9510
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/TPAS.1982.317324
  • Filename
    4111306