Title :
Portfolio optimization using fundamental indicators based on multi-objective EA
Author :
Silva, Alonso ; Neves, Rui ; Horta, Nuno
Author_Institution :
Dept. Eng. & Manage., Inst. Super. Tecnico, Lisbon, Portugal
Abstract :
This work presents a new approach to portfolio composition in the stock market. It incorporates a fundamental approach using financial ratios and technical indicators with a Multi-Objective Evolutionary Algorithms to choose the portfolio composition with two objectives the return and the risk. Two different chromosomes are used for representing different investment models with real constraints equivalents to the ones faced by managers of mutual funds, hedge funds, and pension funds. To validate the present solution two case studies are presented for the SP&500 for the period June 2010 until the end of 2012. The simulations demonstrate that stock selection based on financial ratios is a combination that can be used to choose the best companies in operational terms, obtaining returns above the market average with low variances in their returns. In this case the optimizer found stocks with high return on investment in a conjunction with high rate of growth of the net income and a high profit margin. To obtain stocks with high valuation potential it is necessary to choose companies with a lower or average market capitalization, low PER, high rates of revenue growth and high operating leverage.
Keywords :
evolutionary computation; investment; optimisation; pensions; stock markets; PER; financial ratio; fundamental indicator; hedge funds; investment model; market capitalization; multiobjective EA; multiobjective evolutionary algorithms; mutual funds; net income growth rate; operating leverage; pension funds; portfolio composition; portfolio optimization; profit margin; return on investment; revenue growth; stock market; stock selection; technical indicators; Analytical models; Biological cells; Companies; Data models; Investment; Optimization; Portfolios;
Conference_Titel :
Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering & Economics (CIFEr), 2104 IEEE Conference on
Conference_Location :
London
DOI :
10.1109/CIFEr.2014.6924068