• DocumentCode
    120837
  • Title

    Frequency effects on predictability of stock returns

  • Author

    Fiedor, Pawel

  • Author_Institution
    Cracow Univ. of Econ., Kraków, Poland
  • fYear
    2014
  • fDate
    27-28 March 2014
  • Firstpage
    247
  • Lastpage
    254
  • Abstract
    We propose that predictability is linked with profitability in a complex manner. We look at ways to measure predictability of price changes using information theoretic approach and employ them on historical data for NYSE 100 stocks. This allows us to determine whether frequency of sampling price changes affects the predictability of those. We also study relations between price changes predictability and the deviation of the price formation processes from iid as well as the stock´s sector. We also briefly comment on the complicated relationship between predictability of price changes and the profitability of algorithmic trading.
  • Keywords
    information theory; pricing; profitability; share prices; stock markets; time series; NYSE 100 stocks; algorithmic trading profitability; frequency effects; information theoretic approach; price changes predictability measurement; price formation process deviation; stock return predictability; time series predictability; Algorithm design and analysis; Complexity theory; Context; Entropy; Estimation; Random variables; Stochastic processes;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering & Economics (CIFEr), 2104 IEEE Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    London
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/CIFEr.2014.6924080
  • Filename
    6924080